Great Lakes Levels

Eastern Basin and Thousand Islands: Lake Ontario Water Levels and Shoreline Reference

By Chris Izworski, Bay City, Michigan

The eastern basin of Lake Ontario covers the U.S. shoreline of Lake Ontario from roughly the Genesee River at Rochester east through Sodus Bay, Oswego, and Henderson Harbor to Sackets Harbor and Cape Vincent at the St. Lawrence River outflow, plus the Ontario shoreline from Kingston west through Prince Edward County. Chris Izworski tracks it as a distinct sub-region because it is the receiving end of the Lake Ontario seiche signal, the location of the St. Lawrence outflow and the regulated outflow infrastructure, and the entry to the Thousand Islands region that links Lake Ontario to the broader St. Lawrence River system.

Sub-region: Eastern Lake Ontario, Genesee River east through the St. Lawrence outflow and Thousand Islands.
Major communities: Rochester (NY), Sodus Point, Oswego (NY), Henderson Harbor, Sackets Harbor, Cape Vincent (NY), Wolfe Island, Kingston (Ontario), Picton, Prince Edward County.
Lake datum: 74.2 metres above Chart Datum, the Canadian reference; 243.3 feet IGLD85 (United States reference).
Anchor years: 1986 high, 2017 record monthly high, 2019 second-highest cycle.
Outflow: St. Lawrence River, regulated under IJC Plan 2014 at the Moses-Saunders Power Dam at Cornwall and Massena.
Federal jurisdiction: USACE Buffalo District and Environment and Climate Change Canada for hydrology; New York DEC and Ontario MNRF for shoreline regulation.

Reading the eastern Lake Ontario levels in context

The basinwide Lake Ontario level on the homepage applies along the eastern basin. The eastern basin has historically been the most politically active section of Lake Ontario for the regulation-plan debate, particularly the New York south shore from Rochester east through Oswego. Property-owner advocacy organizations in this region argued during and after the 2017 and 2019 high cycles that Plan 2014's wider operating range exposed shoreline to more frequent and more severe erosion than the prior Plan 1958-D. The political response included substantial state and federal disaster declarations, FEMA assistance, and ongoing reconsideration of the regulation framework.

The 2017 high cycle on Lake Ontario coincided with normal to slightly below-normal conditions on the upper Great Lakes. The 2019 cycle on Lake Ontario coincided with the record high on the upper Great Lakes. The two cycles together produced a roughly four-year period of either record or near-record Lake Ontario levels, with corresponding cumulative property-owner exposure that has shaped the modern advocacy and policy environment along this coast.

Sub-areas of the eastern basin worth tracking separately

The Rochester and Genesee River area at the west end of the sub-region includes the city of Rochester, the Genesee River mouth, Charlotte and Ontario Beach Park, and the substantial urban and suburban shoreline along Monroe County. The Genesee River is the largest tributary to Lake Ontario on the U.S. side, and its mouth at Rochester has been historically important for shipping and is now substantially redeveloped as municipal waterfront.

The Wayne and Cayuga County south shore from Pultneyville east through Sodus Bay and Fair Haven includes a mix of small-town waterfront, federal harbors at Sodus and Fair Haven, and substantial low-density residential and seasonal shoreline. The 2017 and 2019 cycles produced significant property damage along this stretch, and the New York State response (the REDI grant program, completed and ongoing shoreline-resilience projects) reflects the level of impact.

The Oswego and eastern New York shore from Oswego east through Mexico Bay to Henderson Harbor and Sackets Harbor includes the city of Oswego with its substantial federal harbor and the Selkirk and El Dorado shores. Property concerns in this section include shoreline along the relatively exposed Oswego coast, harbor infrastructure, and the small-craft and recreational marinas at Henderson Harbor and Sackets Harbor.

The St. Lawrence outflow and Thousand Islands at the northeast end of the sub-region includes Cape Vincent, Clayton, Alexandria Bay, and the Thousand Islands archipelago that extends downstream into the St. Lawrence River. The Moses-Saunders Power Dam at Cornwall and Massena is the regulation point that controls Lake Ontario outflow, with daily operations adjusted under the IJC Plan 2014 framework. The Thousand Islands themselves are a substantial cottage-country property-owner community with its own regulatory and ecological context.

The Ontario shoreline from Kingston west through Prince Edward County includes the city of Kingston at the St. Lawrence entrance, Wolfe Island, Amherst Island, and the substantial Prince Edward County coast that runs west toward Brighton and the Bay of Quinte. Prince Edward County has emerged as one of the more distinctive recreational and tourism destinations on the Canadian Great Lakes, and the substantial cottage and vineyard development along its shoreline reflects that growth.

Property owner concerns specific to the eastern basin

New York shoreline regulation along the U.S. eastern basin operates through the New York State Department of Environmental Conservation, primarily under the Coastal Erosion Hazard Area framework that designates regulated shoreline segments and shoreline-alteration permitting. Ontario shoreline regulation along the Canadian side operates through the Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry and the regional Conservation Authorities, primarily the Cataraqui Region Conservation Authority for the Kingston area and the Quinte Conservation Authority for Prince Edward County.

The Plan 2014 regulation-plan debate is the dominant property-owner concern along this coast and the most politically active shoreline-regulation issue on the Great Lakes. Property owners on the New York south shore are particularly engaged in the debate, with active advocacy organizations contributing to the ongoing policy and regulatory conversation. The interaction between IJC outflow decisions, local lake-level cycles, and individual property shoreline exposure has been more closely documented in this sub-region during the past decade than in most others on the Great Lakes.

How to use this page

For a current reading, see the live dashboard. For broader Lake Ontario context, see Lake Ontario. For the neighboring Lake Ontario sub-region, see Niagara to Toronto. For the connecting waters to Lake Erie, see Lake Erie.

For the comparable property-owner advocacy environment elsewhere in the Great Lakes, see Save Our Shoreline for the Michigan riparian organization that Chris Izworski serves on the board of, and see Ordinary High Water Mark for the comparable U.S. shoreline-regulation debate on the upper Great Lakes.